Read Online 高盛首席分析師教你看懂進場的訊號：洞悉市場週期，贏在長期好買賣 (Traditional Chinese Edition) By 彼得．C．奧本海默(Peter C. Oppenheimer)

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高盛首席分析師教你看懂進場的訊號：洞悉市場週期，贏在長期好買賣 (Traditional Chinese Edition)-彼得．C．奧本海默(Peter C. Oppenheimer)

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價值投資大師霍華．馬克思曾說：「有能力了解週期的投資人，將能發現獲利的契機。」面對小道消息頻傳，股價波動劇烈的市場，你更需要掌握景氣轉折的關鍵訊號，找到正確投資標的！【選對交易時機，決定了投資成敗】本書作者曾任高盛首席分析師，他長年研究美股波動，發現能避開最差時期、在最好時期進場投資的人，報酬率會出現80％的差異！即使你使用長期持有的存股策略，你更需要辨識週期的能力，才不會買在高點，存股再久也無法彌補股價利差！【4種市場週期的特徵與優勢類股】股市可分為：絕望階段、希望階段、成長階段、樂觀階段，並不斷週期性移動。本書將帶你看懂不同週期的特徵，並檢驗歷史週期中各類股的績效表現，幫助你在不同經濟狀況下，挑出最適合進場的金雞股，存股能夠存對股！【6個發生熊市風險的指標組合】週期型熊市、事件驅動型熊市、結構型熊市，3種熊市的持續期間和嚴重程度有天壤之別。但無論哪種熊市，都會造成30％以上的跌幅，能否避開會大幅影響投資報酬。本書提出6個指標──失業率、通貨膨脹、殖利率曲線、成長動能、估值、民間財務平衡，這些指標的組合可做為發生熊市風險的判斷訊號，幫助你看穿景氣轉折點。【後金融危機時代的週期變化與優勢類股】在長期低利率以及量化寬鬆、高流動性的影響下，新的週期特徵油然而生。全球利率走低對股價有何影響？為什麼經濟成長率偏低，股價卻屢創新高？科技股是否還會繼續主導各國股市？下一個投資機會是哪種類股？本書作者鑑往知來，幫助你在當下這個「超級牛市」週期，穩定踏出下一步。【進場進對點，存股存對股，贏在長期好買賣】本書充滿深度分析，帶領你了解市場週期的特性與驅動力，並針對投資收益、熊市和牛市的特徵與指標，做出實戰驗證有效的策略。在「存股」成為散戶重要投資技巧，許多人認同長期持有股票的價值時，本書將是你選股、進場的最佳幫手，讓你牛市、熊市都能贏，獲利長期勝過大盤！強力推薦──愛榭克（Izaax）／《Smart智富》專欄作家游庭皓／【財經皓角】主持人雷浩斯／價值投資者；財經作家艾利亞斯．帕帕約安努／倫敦商學院經濟學教授輝．皮爾／哈佛商學院資深講師「展望未來，在我們有生之年，熊市的週期性降臨，將是難以避免的投資挑戰。有了這本書，您將正確認知每次熊市的型態，據此擬定對策，順利掌握投資良機。不過，正確判讀熊市，僅是投資。」──愛榭克（Izaax），《Smart智富》專欄作家「本書雄辯地將作者豐富的經驗與行為金融學的見解融合在一起，記錄和理解金融繁榮與蕭條。本書應該是任何金融學系學生的基本讀物。」──艾利亞斯．帕帕約安努（Elias Papaioannou），倫敦商學院經濟學教授「這是一本出色的書，在他作者年來形成的結構化分析框架內，捕捉到了一位主要市場從業者的見解。它為市場如何運作以及市場的發展方向提供了一個生動而獨特的視角。」──輝．皮爾（Huw Pill），哈佛商學院資深講師

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